Ernesto looks like a Dennis clone right now

The shear in front of Ernesto forced the center to relocate northward during the day, and the tracks have been adjusted accordingly. The current NHC forecast, in fact, bears an uncanny resemblance to last year's Hurricane Dennis. Of course, remember that the skinny black line has been adjusted all over the place so far, and will continue to be. Even though the NHC is now calling for Ernesto to eventually end up by the Florida-Alabama state line, Louisiana and New Orleans, and the entire Florida Gulf Coast are still realistically at risk.

TROPICAL GRAB BAG: Debby is looking mighty depressed after her downgrade to a tropical depression. That's pretty much the last we'll hear of her. Ileana is likewise fading fast. Ioke on the other hand, is a truly astounding force of nature. With 160 mph winds, this 460 mile wide storm has now been at Category 4 or higher for 48 hours consecutively and shows no signs of stopping. As she crosses the International Date Line in the next few hours, she'll become Super Typhoon Ioke, and thus is being handed off from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center to the Japan Meteorological Agency Typhoon Center.