Ernesto's Landfall Surprise
Along with the NHC, I had believed this morning that there was no chance for Ernesto to strengthen significantly in his 18 or so hours back over the Atlantic. We were wrong, and Ernesto made it almost back to hurricane strength before coming ashore at Long Island, NC.
Hurricane John, meanwhile, blew a tire while scraping up against the Mexican coast, and dropped rather suddenly back to a Category 2 storm. The curve of the land is putting him further out to sea now, and he has a little bit of a chance to reintensify, but the good news is he will probably hit Baja California as only a Category 2, or maybe Category 3 storm instead of the expected Category 4.
Hurricane Kristy is still being a harmless little storm, and surviving well under outflow from the much bigger John. This situation won't last long, and John's eventual westward turn will spell the end of Kristy in one way or another.
The beginning of the end may finally be here for the amazing Super Typhoon Ioke. She's down to 150 mph winds now, and if those drop any further, she'll just be Regular Old Typhoon Ioke. Still, the models call for her to maintain at least Category 4 strength for another 48 hours before the shear kicks in. She'll still be a major typhoon for another day or so after that, but by then she'll have drifted far enough north to start running out of hot water, and the end will finally be in sight.
Hurricane John, meanwhile, blew a tire while scraping up against the Mexican coast, and dropped rather suddenly back to a Category 2 storm. The curve of the land is putting him further out to sea now, and he has a little bit of a chance to reintensify, but the good news is he will probably hit Baja California as only a Category 2, or maybe Category 3 storm instead of the expected Category 4.
Hurricane Kristy is still being a harmless little storm, and surviving well under outflow from the much bigger John. This situation won't last long, and John's eventual westward turn will spell the end of Kristy in one way or another.
The beginning of the end may finally be here for the amazing Super Typhoon Ioke. She's down to 150 mph winds now, and if those drop any further, she'll just be Regular Old Typhoon Ioke. Still, the models call for her to maintain at least Category 4 strength for another 48 hours before the shear kicks in. She'll still be a major typhoon for another day or so after that, but by then she'll have drifted far enough north to start running out of hot water, and the end will finally be in sight.
posted by grishnash at 10:13 PM
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