Sunday, September 03, 2006

John can't clear Baja

John never made it cleanly back to water, either in the Gulf of California, or the Pacific, and so has been slowly spinning down over the Baja peninsula. The interaction with land has taken his maximum winds down from 110 mph to 45 mph. This has greatly lessened his chances of making it to the U.S., although, note that the forecast cone still includes San Diego. With the right combination of influences, there is still a shot John could hit the U.S. as a tropical depression.

Typhoon Ioke is also still spinning down, and is down to a Category 2 storm now with 110 mph sustained winds. The forecast now has Ioke recurving before reaching Japan, and in the long run, entering the Aleutian Islands as an extratropical remnant.

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